2026 Market Intelligence

CRE Lease Market Data 2026

Benchmarks for asking rents, vacancy rates, TI allowances, free rent norms, and lease term trends across 6 major U.S. markets — updated Q1 2026. Know the market before you negotiate.

6 Major Markets
4 Asset Classes
Updated Q1 2026
Asking Rents, TI, Free Rent & More

Select Asset Class

Filter by Market

Northeast

New York City

-2.1% YoY

Asking Rent

$78–$105/SF/yr

Vacancy Rate
0%18.4%30%

TI Allowance

$120–$200/SF

Free Rent

12–18 months

Avg Lease Term

8 yrs

Vacancy

18.4%

Trophy vs. Class B bifurcation extreme. Hudson Yards/Midtown South outperform; Midtown core softens.

West

Los Angeles

-3.4% YoY

Asking Rent

$42–$58/SF/yr

Vacancy Rate
0%22.7%30%

TI Allowance

$80–$140/SF

Free Rent

10–16 months

Avg Lease Term

7 yrs

Vacancy

22.7%

West LA and El Segundo submarkets outperform. Downtown vacancy exceeds 30%.

Midwest

Chicago

-1.8% YoY

Asking Rent

$34–$52/SF/yr

Vacancy Rate
0%21.3%30%

TI Allowance

$70–$120/SF

Free Rent

10–15 months

Avg Lease Term

7 yrs

Vacancy

21.3%

Fulton Market remains resilient with 12% vacancy. Loop office struggles at 28%+ vacancy.

South

Dallas–Fort Worth

+0.4% YoY

Asking Rent

$28–$42/SF/yr

Vacancy Rate
0%19.8%30%

TI Allowance

$65–$100/SF

Free Rent

8–12 months

Avg Lease Term

6 yrs

Vacancy

19.8%

Uptown/Turtle Creek submarket at 14% vacancy. Las Colinas softens. Net absorption slightly positive in Q1 2026.

Southeast

Atlanta

+0.8% YoY

Asking Rent

$26–$38/SF/yr

Vacancy Rate
0%20.6%30%

TI Allowance

$60–$95/SF

Free Rent

8–12 months

Avg Lease Term

6 yrs

Vacancy

20.6%

Buckhead and Midtown submarkets tighten to 16–17% vacancy. Airport submarket softens.

Pacific NW

Seattle

-4.2% YoY

Asking Rent

$38–$54/SF/yr

Vacancy Rate
0%23.1%30%

TI Allowance

$85–$150/SF

Free Rent

10–16 months

Avg Lease Term

7 yrs

Vacancy

23.1%

Tech sector contraction drives elevated sublease availability (30M SF+). Bellevue holds better than Downtown Seattle.

Office Market Comparison — All 6 Markets

Side-by-side view of office market benchmarks across all covered markets.

MarketAsking RentVacancyTI AllowanceFree RentAvg TermYoY Trend
New York City$78–$105/SF/yr18.4%$120–$200/SF12–18 months8 yrs
-2.1% YoY
Los Angeles$42–$58/SF/yr22.7%$80–$140/SF10–16 months7 yrs
-3.4% YoY
Chicago$34–$52/SF/yr21.3%$70–$120/SF10–15 months7 yrs
-1.8% YoY
Dallas–Fort Worth$28–$42/SF/yr19.8%$65–$100/SF8–12 months6 yrs
+0.4% YoY
Atlanta$26–$38/SF/yr20.6%$60–$95/SF8–12 months6 yrs
+0.8% YoY
Seattle$38–$54/SF/yr23.1%$85–$150/SF10–16 months7 yrs
-4.2% YoY

2026 Market Intelligence Highlights

Office: Tenant's Market

Office vacancy above 20% in most major markets creates the strongest tenant negotiating position in decades. Expect landlords to offer 12–18 months free rent, $100–$200/SF TI allowances, and flexible lease terms. Don't accept initial proposals — countering aggressively is standard practice in 2026 office markets.

Retail: Landlord's Market

Retail vacancy below 7% in most markets means landlords hold significant leverage. Prime corridor rents are at or near historical highs in NYC, LA, and Dallas. Tenants must move quickly on attractive spaces and should focus negotiations on TI allowances and co-tenancy protections rather than base rent reductions.

Industrial: Normalizing

After the 2021–2023 industrial surge, vacancy has risen from sub-3% lows to 5–8% in most markets. Spec supply has caught up with demand in Dallas and LA's Inland Empire. Infill last-mile distribution remains tight. Tenants have more negotiating room than in 2022–2023 but market remains landlord-favorable for premium locations.

Flex/Coworking: Opportunity

Post-WeWork-bankruptcy oversupply pushes flex vacancy to 10–13% in most markets. Creative office and traditional flex represent value opportunities in 2026. Tenants choosing traditional flex leases over coworking memberships get better legal protections and typically lower all-in costs for 5+ year commitments.

How to Use This Data in Your Lease Negotiations

1

Benchmark Your Rent

Compare the landlord's asking rent to the market range above. If asking rent is above the market range, use these benchmarks to negotiate down. If within range, focus on TI and concessions.

2

Demand Market-Rate TI

TI allowances in this dashboard reflect what comparable tenants are receiving. If your proposed TI is below the range, present this data to your landlord as justification for a higher allowance.

3

Negotiate Free Rent

Free rent norms reflect typical market concessions. If you're being offered less than the market norm, ask for more. In tenant-favorable office markets, 12–18 months of free rent is achievable in 2026.

Data Sources & Methodology

Market data reflects Q1 2026 conditions sourced from CBRE, JLL, Cushman & Wakefield, CoStar Group, and Newmark published research reports. Ranges represent 25th–75th percentile market conditions for standard commercial quality space (Class A/B office; neighborhood/community retail centers; bulk/mid-bay industrial; traditional flex/R&D). Individual transactions may vary. This data is for educational and benchmarking purposes only and does not constitute real estate advice. Consult a licensed commercial real estate broker for current market conditions in your specific submarket.

Know the Market. Now Review Your Lease.

You've seen what the market is offering. Now find out if your lease is above or below market — and what provisions you should push back on. LeaseAI analyzes your lease in minutes for $29.